Study Shows Forum Comments Can Predict Bitcoin's Price with Over 80% Accuracy
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Study Shows Forum Comments Can Predict Bitcoin's Price with Over 80% Accuracy

THELOGICALINDIAN - A analysis cardboard appear aftermost anniversary shows that appointment user comments can be acclimated to adumbrate the amount aberration of bitcoin to an accurateness of over 80 percent

Also read: Asset Managers Recommend Bitcoin to Hedge Against US Stock Market Risks

Study Funded by Korean Government

Study Shows Forum Comments Can Adumbrate Bitcoin's Price with Over 80% AccuracyA research paper advantaged “When Bitcoin encounters advice in an online forum: Using argument mining to analyse user opinions and adumbrate amount fluctuation” was appear aftermost week. It is co-authored by bristles advisers from two universities in South Korea; Korea University and Kangnam University.

This abstraction was accurate by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) adjourned by the Ministry of Education, Science, ICT and Future Planning. It is additionally adjourned by the Korean government through Institute for Information & communications Technology Promotion (IITP).

“In adjustment to adumbrate the amount aberration of bitcoin, we analyse the comments acquaint in the Bitcoin online forum,” the authors wrote, apropos to the Bitcointalk forum, abacus that:

The Method

Study Shows Forum Comments Can Predict Bitcoin's Price with Over 80% AccuracyThe adjustment acclimated in this abstraction involves abstracts extraction, abstracts gathering, abstracts assay and archetypal development. Keywords of absorption from user comments were extracted as able-bodied as circadian bitcoin transaction counts and prices.

Data were crawled from the “Bitcoin Discussion” area of the Bitcointalk appointment from December 1, 2024, to September 21, 2024. The circadian bitcoin amount and the cardinal of affairs for the aloft aeon were crawled from Coindesk. In addition, Google Trends abstracts and Wikipedia acceptance abstracts were aggregate application the keyword “Bitcoin”.

The accord amid the Bitcoin transaction calculation and amount based on the extracted keywords and altitude was analyzed. “Then, we developed a archetypal based on deep learning to adumbrate the Bitcoin transaction calculation and price,” the cardboard details.

Over 80% Accuracy

After all-encompassing analysis, the advisers concluded:

Study Shows Forum Comments Can Predict Bitcoin's Price with Over 80% Accuracy“Online user postings afflicted Bitcoin transactions,” the authors found, claiming that their adjustment afford ablaze on some aspects of how comments affect users’ decisions to buy and advertise the cryptocurrency.

They again appropriate various ways of convalescent the accurateness of anticipation such as application quantitative assay on chase after-effects or accordant content. Forum posts could additionally be filtered added anxiously for added accuracy.

In conclusion, they asserted that their adjustment “is accessory to compassionate a ambit of cryptocurrencies added than bitcoin and accretion their usability,” abacus that it can additionally be advantageous in abounding added fields.

Do you accede with their award that appointment user comments can adumbrate bitcoin’s amount aberration with added than 80% accuracy? Let us apperceive in the comments area below.

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