Will Bitmain Stage a 51% Attack on the BTC Network?
analysis

Will Bitmain Stage a 51% Attack on the BTC Network?

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The Chinese mining aggregation Bitmain now controls over 40% of the BTC hashing power. This agency that the aggregation is abutting the hashing ability appropriate to ascendancy the Bitcoin arrangement and – if it admiring – date a 51% attack.

According to data calm by Coin Dance the two mining pools endemic by Bitmain, BTC.com and Antpool, accept had a combined hashrate of 42% of the Bitcoin arrangement over the accomplished seven days.

Unlike best added mining pools or companies, Bitmain makes and uses its own mining equipment. Its ambit of ASIC rigs, advised with assortment ante of over a actor a second, leaves best CPU and GPU mining accessories in the dust.

The Beijing-based aggregation has congenital up a acceptability for secrecy, and reportedly fabricated $3-4bn in profits aftermost year. By comparison, the American GPU-chip architect Nvidia fabricated profits of $3bn and Canaan Inc., one of its abutting competitors in the accomplishment of mining equipment, fabricated a twelfth of what Bitmain did.

If Bitmain Took Control of BTC, Would It Stage a 51% Attack?

Although the coin’s amount has slipped from its $20,000 aerial aback in December, at a accepted bazaar amount of over $6,000, Bitcoin is still the best admired arrangement for a rogue miner to attack.

If Bitmain did advance the BTC network, the aggregation would rake in a abundant bulk of funds in the short-term. However, as anon as it became bright that the arrangement was beneath attack, there would about absolutely be a abrupt accident of aplomb and agitation selling. In the two accepted instances back the Verge network was attacked, XVG plunged, it’s absolute amount falling by $300m the aboriginal time, and by over $200m the next.

Even back Verge announced, both times, that the advance had been auspiciously resolved, the arrangement bootless to compensate best of its pre-attack value. Since the additional advance in mid-May, Verge has connected to accelerate in value: bottomward by 56%, according to CoinMarketCap.

If the aforementioned were to appear to the BTC network, history suggests that abounding would avenue their positions rapidly, arch to the amount of Bitcoin diving. Bitmain would technically ascendancy Bitcoin, but the abiding bloom of the asset could be irreparably damaged.

An age-old altercation in aegis of the Proof-of-Work consensus agreement is that the high-upfront costs in affairs and active the appropriate cardinal of mining rigs would set a aggregation aback so abundant as to accomplish an attack completely economically unviable.

The aforementioned altercation holds true, if not truer, for Bitmain than best added mining parties. Considering the company’s pale in the approaching of BTC mining, a 51% advance would be alike to business suicide as it would acceptable lose one of its primary acquirement streams as the amount of BTC collapsed.

Although arguments bandied about the cryptosphere that Jihan Wu ability accommodation BTC to abutment the rival Bitcoin Cash network, these rumors acceptable represent a batty conspiracy-theory mentality. Not alone would miners about-face off from BTC, but all added networks which run off the SHA-256 would also alongside be compromised and accountable to attack.

At present, 60% of the aggregation is controlled by Mr. Wu and his partner, Micree Zhan, giving them able chargeless administration over Bitmain’s administration and actions.

But as was appear beforehand this month, Bitmain may be activity public, as Mr. Wu appropriate that the aggregation could attending at captivation an IPO either in Hong Kong or possibly in the US as it looked to accession funds for its new adventure into Artificial Intelligence.

If the aggregation goes mainstream, not alone will its books accept to go public, but Bitmain will additionally accept to be captivated answerable to its shareholders who may accession objections if the aggregation began a attack of arrangement domination.

The catechism on whether a accord advance could absolutely appear on the BTC arrangement confused from a academic one absolutely some time ago. Way aback in 2024, the now-defunct GHash mining basin absolutely did canyon the 51% mark but in that case, asked miners to move some of their hashing ability assimilate added pools.

Antpool has afresh started a advance alms zero-fees to new miners abutting its platform, with BTC is one of the bill included as allotment of its promotional offering, and at the time of autograph the aggregation has yet to absolution any official chat or acknowledgment to requests for comment.

It’s accessible that Bitmain artlessly doesn’t anticipate 42% isn’t enough… but the association will accept to delay and watch as the aggregation inches appear ascendancy of Bitcoin.

Ironically, the approaching of a activity advised to decentralize accounts could be larboard in the easily of two men.

Disclaimer: The columnist is invested in BTC, which is mentioned in this article.