analysis

"Thank Donald Trump:" Trade Tensions Could Push Bitcoin Higher

THELOGICALINDIAN - But some are not convinced

Rising tensions amid the U.S. and China are damaging all-around markets as able-bodied as broker confidence. But while sabers rattle, cryptocurrency markets are booming.

Bitcoin prices are at the accomplished levels in added than three weeks, ascent over 8% in the accomplished twenty-four hours. That’s a accretion of about $1,000. The acceleration has additionally aerial the blow of the agenda asset market, which had a absolute amount of $310bn at the time of writing.

This ability be a knee-jerk acknowledgment as the Renminbi avalanche below its $0.14 attic for the aboriginal time in eleven years. In a statement today, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said the abatement was a aftereffect of “unilateralism and barter protectionism measures and the artifice of assessment increases on China.”

Although the U.S. is not mentioned explicitly, the account acceptable refers to President Trump’s announcement on Thursday of a 10% assessment on Chinese goods. The new fees will appear into aftereffect on added than $300bn of Chinese imports as aboriginal as the alpha of September.

The advertisement precipitated a all-around flight out of equities, signaling a bead in bazaar confidence.  Since Thursday, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 alone by 2% and 1.6% respectively, with China’s SSE Composite bottomward added than 3.5%.

Historical safe havens are experiencing a billow in acceptance as investors attending to bottle value. German 30-year bonds went into abrogating crop for the aboriginal time in history and the Swiss Franc has acquired about 3% adjoin the dollar back Thursday.

Today’s move is added affirmation that Bitcoin is fast acceptable a recognized hedge adjoin the acceptable markets.

“Bulls charge to acknowledge Donald Trump for this accepted move because this is absolutely apprenticed due the geopolitical tensions,” explained Naeem Aslam, arch bazaar analyst for ThinkMarkets.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1158350120649408513

With the anticipation of China and the U.S. accepting to cheapen their currencies, Aslam said the Federal Reserve will accept to cut absorption ante and “adopt an ultra-dovish budgetary policy,” which could advance the Bitcoin amount alike higher.

But although a all-around bread-and-butter abatement makes a nice tie-in, some analysts are harboring doubts. According to skeptics, the latest acceleration could be a adult pump-and-dump by deep-pocketed holders.

“[L]arge-volume traders (including exchanges themselves) will best acceptable advantage bitcoin’s accepted advancement drive against a new aerial from its antecedent peak,” argued Tom Maxon, Head of U.S. Operations at CoolBitX, “to abbreviate it to the damage of beneath able retail traders.”

The bazaar has already apparent several abrupt spikes culminating in quick drops. The Bitcoin amount raced upwards to able-bodied over $13,500, a little over a ages ago afore abolition aback bottomward to beneath $10,000. Today’s acceleration ability able-bodied be a agnate movement.

A BitMEX report appear in February said there was no affirmation Bitcoin is an able barrier adjoin bazaar tumult. Although advantageous to a degree, analysts appropriate that acceptable safe havens, like gold or bonds, would prove added able than Bitcoin, which has not yet been through a all-around recession.

As the address mounts on both ancillary of the Pacific ocean, investors – advocates and cynics akin – will watch agenda assets carefully to see how they acknowledge to bread-and-butter uncertainty. If markets tip into a recession, it could prove to be Bitcoin’s ultimate test.